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Basketball Betting

$70 To $700: 12/9

A couple of bad beats last night. Zubac with 9 first-half points couldn’t buy a pass from his selfish-ass teammates in the second half to get the 10 he needed. On the wrong side of the Baker Mayfield miracle game. The Raiders had so many different ways they could have put that game away. Sengun over points was almost a loser as well. He had 14, had one of the most unbelievable poster dunks I have ever seen but it was terribly called an offensive foul. Next possession he gets called for a travel when he did not even have control of the ball and gets so frustrated he gets taken out of the game in the middle of the third quarter and didn’t even get back in until garbage time where he barely squeaked a layup in to salvage tonight. S/O Cam Akers for fumbling or else he would have easily gone over. Kyren Williams got a lot of the second-half work because of the fumble which saved my ass. Dame took over in that game which was a great omen for Simons under points, which hit easily, but after 12 first quarter points, Jerami Grant ended up with 18 which had us end up 3-3 on the night. Staying above water night one, and a few bad beats. I’m fired up for the slate tonight. Gonna stick to just one play for each team at max from now on. 

Starting Balance: $70.07

Record:3-3

Tonights Plays:

  • Giannis O30.5 points: 8 straight games with 30+ points for Giannis, and I do not expect it to stop against the Mavericks tonight. Last time they played Giannis still had 30 even in just 27 minutes. This game should be closer (unless Grayson Allen hits 7 threes again) which should allow more opportunities for Giannis.
  • Scottie Barnes O28.5 points, rebounds, assists: Barnes is playing a lot better as of late, and this number has hit four of his last five. The Magic are still banged up and Barnes should be a beneficiary of this.
  • Mason Plumlee U23.5 PRA: The Knicks and Mitch Robinson have always kept Plumlee in check, as this number is 7-1 in Plumlee’s last 8 against the Knicks.
  • Zion O7.5 rebounds: As of late, Zion is looking much healthier, and this is 4-1 in his last 5 games. Ayton will most likely be guarding Valančiūnas, leaving a smaller matchup for Zion, where he should be a monster on the boards.
  • Anthony Davis U39.5 PRA: Davis was playing like an MVP before he exited his last game with flu like symptoms. Who knows how healthy AD is, and Embiid has kept AD in check, holding him to 23, 12 and 2. This number may not seem high, but could still hit with AD Having 25, 10 and 4, so I like this spot.
  • Kyrie Irving O23.5 points: This is a total spot play against the Hawks. Dejounte Murray is out for a few weeks, and he would normally be tasked with Kyrie, so the controversial guard should be able to feast on a depleted backcourt. Recently, Kyrie has been getting a ton of 4th quarter points, so maybe monitor this one around halftime and find some value and take his second-half points over if he was off to a cold start in the first.
  • Rudy Gobert U30.5 PRA: Gobert has really struggled this year, and even without KAT in the lineup, his numbers have not been great, averaging just 10 and 9.
  • Jaden Ivy U14.5 points: Ivey has seen a decrease in minutes since Bojan Bogdanovic returned a week or so ago, and Ivey will have a tough matchup against the Grizzlies. In his last 6 he is averaging just 12 points, which includes a 10-point output against the Grizzlies just 5 days ago.
  • Grambling @Vandy U138: My first college basketball play thanks to my good friend Chris. He is great at finding value in games like this. In Chris’s words “Grambling’s offense stinks (333 in efficiency) and Vandy shuts down low majors. Vandy’s offense is also inconsistent. Vandy has only given up 3 times, and all of those were to teams that were better than themselves.”

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